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“STRENGTH IN NUMBERS”
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A new framework for media polling analysis
Dear readers, ABC News announced on Friday that they will be hiring me as their new “Editorial Director of Data Analytics” effective late June. This new…
May 22
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G. Elliott Morris
21
Polling and forecasting in 2024 and beyond | #215 - May 14, 2023
Pollsters are "worried about Trump" again. But the problems in public opinion surveys run much deeper
May 14
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G. Elliott Morris
7
1
April 2023
What's next for data-driven election journalism? | #214 - April 25, 2023
Hopefully, a focus on polling methods and the substance of public opinion, not just predictions
Apr 25
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G. Elliott Morris
15
3
Artificial intelligence and "big data" cannot replace public opinion polls | #213 - April 10, 2023
Plus, other links from vacation
Apr 10
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G. Elliott Morris
6
March 2023
At this point in 2007, Rudy Giuliani was the front-runner for the GOP nomination | #212 - March 26, 2023
Every primary is different from the training set
Mar 26
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G. Elliott Morris
Links for March 12-18, 2023 | A Trump indictment; The GOP against Ukraine; Fox's Arizona 2020 call; and Rasmussen is at it again
Plus, centrists are preparing a spoiler election candidacy for 2024, and comments on "the gerrymandering myth"
Mar 20
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G. Elliott Morris
1
Republican opposition to Trump is a classic coordination problem | #211 - March 19, 2023
The former president currently commands too much loyalty, among opinion leaders and voters, to easily be dethroned. But his opponents may soon have an…
Mar 20
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G. Elliott Morris
9
1
Links for March 5-11, 2023 | Regulating drug prices; Rating pollsters; And what campaign lawn signs tell us
Hmmm... this sample is convenient.... tooo convenient
Mar 11
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G. Elliott Morris
3
Links for February 26-March 4, 2023 | Predicting primaries; "Wokeism" and depression?; And new evidence of voter rationality
How to look at lines that go up
Mar 6
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G. Elliott Morris
1
February 2023
Why you should ignore partisan pollsters | #210 - February 26, 2023
If correctly aggregating the public's opinions means slightly less accurate election forecasts some years, that's okay
Feb 27
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G. Elliott Morris
9
1
Links for February 19-25, 2023 | Americans in most states support legal abortions; New graphs for showing polling uncertainty at PBS; And…
These fuzzy bars need more fuzz!
Feb 25
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G. Elliott Morris
7
Presidents' Day Links | February 12-18, 2023 | Asymmetric polarization; "Rich Democrats, Poor Republicans"; and Dissatisfaction with gun…
George Washington never got to join the Congressional Dads Caucus
Feb 20
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G. Elliott Morris
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