Every primary is different from the training set
Plus, centrists are preparing a spoiler election candidacy for 2024, and comments on "the gerrymandering myth"
The former president currently commands too much loyalty, among opinion leaders and voters, to easily be dethroned. But his opponents may soon have an…
Hmmm... this sample is convenient.... tooo convenient
How to look at lines that go up

February 2023

If correctly aggregating the public's opinions means slightly less accurate election forecasts some years, that's okay
These fuzzy bars need more fuzz!
George Washington never got to join the Congressional Dads Caucus
Trump may be in a stronger position for 2024 than popularly believed. (That does not mean he is the automatic winner.)

January 2023

69% of adults think the US defaulting on its debt would be a major problem
I'll take my whiskey like American democracy (on the rocks)
Abandon politics, return to logging