Kansas, cross-pressured voters, and the changing* political environment
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Thoughts on "education polarization" and a new study claiming Hispanics did not move right at all from 2016 to 2020
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Here is a passage from a recent article about the New York Times/Siena College poll published earlier this month: A survey from The New York Times and…
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Thank you all for making pub week for Strength in Numbers a success
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A one-of-a-kind book about the history of polling, THE mechanics of modern surveys, and role of polls in our democracy
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Polls of the US House race have moved 1-2 points toward the Democrats over the last month. But surveys are noisy, and Democrats may be more responsive…
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With additional posts on the Supreme Court and Australian elections
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Data from an eventful week; and on being patriotic when everything is falling apart
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Saturday thread for June 26-July 2, 2022: Some sources of hope for Democrats emergeThere has been a tendency in Washington over the past year to assume disaster for the Democrats. They will certainly lose their House majority, …
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The authors misused voter file data, conflating estimates of party ID with real changes in registration. The error was fixed by other analysts who find…
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Saturday thread for June 19-25, 2022: Why the Supreme Court needs democratic legitimacyThe Supreme Court did two things yesterday when it overturned previous cases establishing a women’s federal right to an abortion. First and fore…
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Saturday thread for June 12-18, 2022: January 6 and voter psychology The biggest political news this week is about the House January 6 committee’s ongoing public hearings about the 2021 attack on Congress. While t…
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