A new study of polls on hundreds of state ballot initiatives reveals no bias towards liberals or conservatives, but rather a consistent underestimation of the status quo
I'm interested in how campaign dynamics might apply here. Economic issues (labor, unions, minimum wage) show the least relation between opinion and vote; these are the issues where we would expect the greatest amount of self-interested campaign expenditure. Seemingly one-sided issues lose support when opposition shows up, as it does during an election campaign. These suggest that, without the anchor of political party, initiative campaigns can be influential
I'm interested in how campaign dynamics might apply here. Economic issues (labor, unions, minimum wage) show the least relation between opinion and vote; these are the issues where we would expect the greatest amount of self-interested campaign expenditure. Seemingly one-sided issues lose support when opposition shows up, as it does during an election campaign. These suggest that, without the anchor of political party, initiative campaigns can be influential