Politics by the Numbers

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Yes, you can generally trust issue polling — but there’s a catch

gelliottmorris.substack.com

Yes, you can generally trust issue polling — but there’s a catch

A new study of polls on hundreds of state ballot initiatives reveals no bias towards liberals or conservatives, but rather a consistent underestimation of the status quo

G. Elliott Morris
May 11, 2021
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Yes, you can generally trust issue polling — but there’s a catch

gelliottmorris.substack.com

There is a status quo bias in American politics. Most people think of the present as the ideal, and when the time comes to vote for reforms, they choose to vote against policies or politicians that p…

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