I'm not convinced Trump will run again. The assumption given the initial polling, Trump would be an overwhelming favorite to win the Republican nomination in 2024. Trump clearly could win the nomination in 2024, but this is polling just after a Presidential Election, we'll see what happens in the coming years. I don't believe Donald Trump is Grover Cleveland 2.0 who was the 22nd and 24th President (Cleveland won in 1884, lost to Benjamin Harrison 1888, and ran again, defeating Harrison in 1892).
Here is the heart of the issue, will a more talented politician to able to replicate what Trump did? Or is this something unique to Trump? At least for now, the current polls show Trumpism will be extremely important to the future of the Republican Party.
From America’s Next Authoritarian Will Be Much More Competent, by Zeynep Tufekci (The Atlantic)
"the real message of this election is not that Trump lost and Democrats triumphed. It’s that a weak and untalented politician lost, while the rest of his party has completely entrenched its power over every other branch of government: the perfect setup for a talented right-wing populist to sweep into office in 2024. And make no mistake: They’re all thinking about it."
I'll leave it here, before I argue from a political science point that 2024 Presidential race has already begun, and someone throws a virtual leftover Thanksgiving pie at me.
I am not at all convinced, either, that he will run in 2024. My point was more that Republican voters support him doing it, therefore their appetite for Trumpism persists. To your point, the prospect of a "talented right-wing populist" replacing an unskilled, unpopular Trump next time around is definitely concerning.
I'm not convinced Trump will run again. The assumption given the initial polling, Trump would be an overwhelming favorite to win the Republican nomination in 2024. Trump clearly could win the nomination in 2024, but this is polling just after a Presidential Election, we'll see what happens in the coming years. I don't believe Donald Trump is Grover Cleveland 2.0 who was the 22nd and 24th President (Cleveland won in 1884, lost to Benjamin Harrison 1888, and ran again, defeating Harrison in 1892).
Here is the heart of the issue, will a more talented politician to able to replicate what Trump did? Or is this something unique to Trump? At least for now, the current polls show Trumpism will be extremely important to the future of the Republican Party.
From America’s Next Authoritarian Will Be Much More Competent, by Zeynep Tufekci (The Atlantic)
"the real message of this election is not that Trump lost and Democrats triumphed. It’s that a weak and untalented politician lost, while the rest of his party has completely entrenched its power over every other branch of government: the perfect setup for a talented right-wing populist to sweep into office in 2024. And make no mistake: They’re all thinking about it."
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/11/trump-proved-authoritarians-can-get-elected-america/617023/
I'll leave it here, before I argue from a political science point that 2024 Presidential race has already begun, and someone throws a virtual leftover Thanksgiving pie at me.
Elliott:
I am not at all convinced, either, that he will run in 2024. My point was more that Republican voters support him doing it, therefore their appetite for Trumpism persists. To your point, the prospect of a "talented right-wing populist" replacing an unskilled, unpopular Trump next time around is definitely concerning.