Great post. What evidence do you have that the non-voting population is "much more liberal" than the voting population? I was struck by how much turnout increased in 2020 from 2016 and yet the national popular vote went from about +2 Dem to +4.5 Dem.
Polls of the public's attitudes and values are useful and important. However, we have a group of 50 people who have captured the Senate and don't give a flip what the public or their own constituents want or think.
Appendix A: I am also reminded that Pew got the exact percentage correct ahead of an Irish referendum on expanding abortion rights. 66% of Irish adults told Pew they favored expanded rights, and then 66% of Irish voters ended up voting that way: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2018/05/29/ireland-abortion-vote-reflects-western-europe-support/
Great post. What evidence do you have that the non-voting population is "much more liberal" than the voting population? I was struck by how much turnout increased in 2020 from 2016 and yet the national popular vote went from about +2 Dem to +4.5 Dem.
Polls of the public's attitudes and values are useful and important. However, we have a group of 50 people who have captured the Senate and don't give a flip what the public or their own constituents want or think.