Is there any data on whether or not voters who believed the racist Obama birther conspiracy (led by Trump) have anti-democracy beliefs? I assume they do, but it would be good have some data to back that up.
Ted — These data begin in 2011, so we can't speak to that. But if you look at the swing in Obama's county-level election returns from 2008 to 2012, you'll see that % white was a very predictive variable. So we can be reasonably confident the trend that made Trump's catalyzing effect possible began in earnest around that time.
Wanting to read this article got me to subscribe.
Hope you found it useful!
Hi Elliott,
Is there any data on whether or not voters who believed the racist Obama birther conspiracy (led by Trump) have anti-democracy beliefs? I assume they do, but it would be good have some data to back that up.
Thanks,
Elliot
My prior is also that they do, but I don't think we have the crosstabs readily available in any public data.
A most excellent column...thanks for the data ...Does this slide reflect the 2008 economic depression or the election of Obama or both...
Ted — These data begin in 2011, so we can't speak to that. But if you look at the swing in Obama's county-level election returns from 2008 to 2012, you'll see that % white was a very predictive variable. So we can be reasonably confident the trend that made Trump's catalyzing effect possible began in earnest around that time.