4 Comments
Oct 10, 2020Liked by G. Elliott Morris

I'm not sure what Trump can do to shake up the race. My guess is that Trump will double/triple down voter fraud and attempt to stir things up by causing unrest.

I don't really find anything below plausible and find some just crazy, but some of these possibilities have been mentioned.

Maybe there will be an attempt to stop counting votes by mail, claiming issues with voter fraud, or something goes wrong at the post office that helps Trump win.

This sounds pretty insane, but maybe Republican controlled state legislatures would attempt to overrule the popular vote in states Biden won and submit Trump's own electors instead. This could lead to a Supreme Court decision on which elector slate to send to Congress. I've been reading too much Electoral Doomsday articles. This stuff is just crazy.

The race has been stable. There are only 25 days left in this election. It is what it is.

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Oct 9, 2020Liked by G. Elliott Morris

I don't think it's mentally possible for him to do any of the things you lay out. At this point, I have to wonder if he's trying to sabotage his own campaign.

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Oct 9, 2020Liked by G. Elliott Morris

I suppose a super spreader event in FL might do the trick? Insane. I don't even know how you model this craziness. Ty for the analysis! Keep on Silver, Wasserman et al., it makes for great reading.

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