I am curious how often presidents out run their approval ratings by 3 points. I wonder if Obama-Trump voters are having a hard time deciding right now and are behind some of this variance.
Good point. It has historically been the case that presidents outpace their approval ratings in June, usually by ~5 points. Not sure about the data for November approval ratings/November vote share, though.
At some point, I'd like to see a column about how the 15% threshold is killing the moderates. How it translates Bernie's 1/3 of the vote into half the delegates.
Ya! I am famous!
I am curious how often presidents out run their approval ratings by 3 points. I wonder if Obama-Trump voters are having a hard time deciding right now and are behind some of this variance.
Good point. It has historically been the case that presidents outpace their approval ratings in June, usually by ~5 points. Not sure about the data for November approval ratings/November vote share, though.
At some point, I'd like to see a column about how the 15% threshold is killing the moderates. How it translates Bernie's 1/3 of the vote into half the delegates.