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I wonder if a sort of Meyers Briggs poll would work.

When you take that test, they never ask something like "Are you an introvert? Yes/No" but in the end, they come to that conclusion.

If you could design a set of questions that gets at the fundamental belief system of a person such that they can't offer enough fake responses to mess with it (you could detect a pattern of faking) then you could compare where they end up in your "personality/belief matrix" with the positions being advertised by different campaigns.

With that comparison, you would then draw your conclusions about how they will vote.

This sort of poll could be made very attractive online because at the end you reveal something about the poll participant which keeps them clicking through to the end.

Give it a clickbait headline like "Where do you stand in comparison to your neighbors?" or "Are your beliefs on the winning side?" or whatever and make most of the questions amusing...when you pose scenarios and ask if they are more or less likely to respond in a certain way.

At the end give them accurate graphs, etc. so you are not being deceptive about what they'll get.

You'd have to decide how to target your ads and compare them to voter databases, etc., all that usual stuff.

This could be very complex and nuanced, but with a huge enough amount of data and perhaps some machine learning, it could possibly end up being pretty close...at least as close as the Myers Briggs test gets, which is sometimes quite accurate and usually at least in the same part of the ballpark. More data allows for corrections.

This would be inviting/enticing people to take a poll rather than forcing yourself into their lives and insisting they take a poll, which isn't working out so well at the present.

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Too much security.

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