If Biden beats the polls in Alaska, what should we predict in New Jersey?
Thinking about a weird problem in 538’s election model
Building predictive models for elections is tough stuff. There are so many different factors to take into account, and making an adjustment for one of them can cause weird downstream effects in how y…
Keep reading with a 7-day free trial
Subscribe to Politics by the Numbers to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.