How election models factor in high turnout

Pollsters' likely voter screens can be flexible enough to pick up changing turnout patterns

A month or so ago, a reader named Paul wrote to me:

Hi Elliott,

Recently I've noticed differences in polls of the same state, and I have a quick question about likely voter polling: Do you know if anyone has compared the LV screens and methods used by different public pollsters?

- Paul

This is a really good question! And answering it also has the bonus of …

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