How election models factor in high turnout
Pollsters' likely voter screens can be flexible enough to pick up changing turnout patterns
A month or so ago, a reader named Paul wrote to me:
Recently I've noticed differences in polls of the same state, and I have a quick question about likely voter polling: Do you know if anyone has compared the LV screens and methods used by different public pollsters?
This is a really good question! And answering it also has the bonus of …