Democracy by the Numbers

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Don't pay attention to election forecasting models based only on economics
gelliottmorris.substack.com

Don't pay attention to election forecasting models based only on economics

They might not capture our politics like they used to

G. Elliott Morris
Oct 20, 2019
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Don't pay attention to election forecasting models based only on economics
gelliottmorris.substack.com

The takeaway: Election forecasting models will never be perfect. Those based only on economics are more imperfect than others. They have higher errors and are built on a theory of political behavior …

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