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Can early economic conditions predict elections?

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Can early economic conditions predict elections?

Economic indicators typically become predictive long before polls do, but the 2020 election is still too far away for this to matter

G. Elliott Morris
Aug 14, 2019
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Can early economic conditions predict elections?

gelliottmorris.substack.com

What to do with 2020 election predictions that are made in August 2019:

The Takeaway: Early general election polling is useless. Trial-heat polls bear no resemblance to outcomes until the election is …

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