Sitemap - 2019 - Politics by the Numbers

Joe Biden’s hopeless embrace of bipartisanship

December 29, 2019 πŸ“Š Democratic voters might be more loyal to their party than they were in 2016

Are Democratic primary polls actually rigged against non-white voters?

πŸŽ„Ho Ho HoπŸŽ„Special offers (plural!) and gift subscriptions

Everything is broken and nothing matters anymore

December 15, 2019 πŸ“Š Why Pete Buttigieg was always doomed (probably)

Is this the end of popular presidential candidates?

December 8, 2019 πŸ“Š Britain's election isn't over til it's over

Independents are the key to Trump's impeachment fallout

December 1, 2019 πŸ“Š Buttigieg has taken supporters from Warren, not Biden

The real lesson from elections in Kentucky and Louisiana

How responsive is public opinion?

November 17, 2019 πŸ“Š Obama is probably right about Democrats’ leftward drift

Buttigieg's rise has cost Biden and Warren the most early-state support

November 10, 2019 πŸ“Š The 2020 election will be close (until it's not)

Bloomberg schmoomberg

November 3, 2019 πŸ“Š Where are the swing voters?

How liberal are Democratic primary voters?

October 27, 2019 πŸ“ŠThe puzzle of Joe Biden’s lead

A brewing 2020 Democratic revolt?

Oops! October 20, 2019 πŸ“Š Are 2020 general election polls actually good right now?

October 20, 2019 πŸ“Š Are 2020 general election polls actually good right now?

Don't pay attention to election forecasting models based only on economics

Still no evidence of a decline in Republican party identification since 2016

October 13, 2019 πŸ“Š Elizabeth Warren is a coalition-builder

Can we trust impeachment polling?

Why parties shouldn’t use polls to vet candidates

September 29, 2019 πŸ“Š How many Americans actually support impeachment?

A better measure of 2020 electability

What polls say about impeachment

September 22, 2019 πŸ“Š Which Democrats are still actually in the running for 2020?

Voter turnout will be high in 2020. We don't really know what that means yet

September 15, 2019 πŸ“Š Could Donald Trump's presidency be creating a generation of Democrats?

CHAT: What we learned from the special election in North Carolina's 9th congressional district

What we learned from the special election in North Carolina's 9th congressional district

September 8, 2019 πŸ“Š Do Republican retirements predict a "blue wave" for 2020?

Why Howard Schultz's presidential bid was doomed from the start

September 1, 2019 πŸ“Š Are pollsters herding their polls of the 2020 Democratic primary?

Bad economic news could doom Trump

Good news and also yeah some bad news

"Electability" is a function of your opponent, too. That's bad news for Trump.

August 18, 2019 πŸ“Š Will third party voters spoil the 2020 presidential election?

The state of the states in the 2020 Democratic nominating contest

Can early economic conditions predict elections?

August 11, 2019 πŸ“Š The end for Joe Biden

What's dividing voters in the 2020 Democratic primary?

August 4, 2019 πŸ“Š What’s the chance of a blue Texas?

Gun violence, white nationalism, and Donald Trump

The political science on impeaching Trump

The electoral link in support for impeaching Trump

July 28, 2019 πŸ“Š What would a Biden or Warren victory actually mean?

Can we talk about UK polling for a second?

Impeachment looks less likely than ever

July 21, 2019 πŸ“Š How Democrats' electoral college disadvantage could grow... or crumble

How overconfidence hurts the polling and forecasting industries

Democrats need at least some swing voters in 2020

A weekend recess

The decline of Bernie Sanders

July 7, 2019 πŸ“Š Do we actually know anything concrete (and data-driven) about the state of the 2020 Democratic primary candidates?

June 30, 2019 πŸ“ŠWhat does the first 2020 primary debate mean for the Democrats?

Don't hire writers that don't have political numeracy

Subscribers-only chat: Democratic debate round 2: FIGHT

The not-so-backlash "backlash" to Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

June 23, 2019 πŸ“ŠHow much do presidential primary debates matter?

About early polling

How to think about all these 2020 polls

June 16, 2019 πŸ“ŠWhat a liberal Democratic president could accomplish

Chat: Warren in second place in yet another 2020 poll

Elizabeth Warren is gaining steam

June 9, 2019 πŸ“Š Can a "religious left" match the Christian Right?

Some early 2020 warning signs for Trump

June 2, 2019 πŸ“Š The political mood still favors Democrats, but noisy signals abound

Understanding Trump's base when it comes to tariffs (and everything else)

The issue with polling on impeachment

May 26, 2019 πŸ“Š Nationalism and nativism are no longer fringe movements

53% of Democrats think impeachment should be a top priority for Congress

Coming tomorrow: paid posts

May 19, 2019 πŸ“Š Should Democrats go after Trump voters or non-voters?

May 12, 2019 πŸ“Š What makes 2020 different than 2016?

May 5, 2019 πŸ“Š Democrats: "What we want, baby who's got it?"

April 28, 2019 πŸ“Š Biden is out front, but for how long?

April 21, 2019 πŸ“Š What comes after the Mueller report?

April 7, 2019 πŸ“Š The Buttigieg Email: What Is with the "Mayor Pete" Hype?

March 31, 2019 πŸ“Š Why Trump's New Health Care Crusade Will Probably Backfire

March 24, 2019 πŸ“Š Reactions to the End of Mueller's Investigation

The Crosstab Weekly Newsletter πŸ“Š March 17, 2019

The Crosstab Weekly Newsletter πŸ“Š March 10, 2019

The Crosstab Weekly Newsletter πŸ“Š March 3, 2019

The Crosstab Weekly Newsletter πŸ“Š February 24, 2019

The Crosstab Weekly Newsletter πŸ“Š February 17, 2019

The Crosstab Weekly Newsletter πŸ“Š February 3, 2019

The Crosstab Weekly Newsletter πŸ“Š January 20, 2019

The Crosstab Weekly Newsletter πŸ“Š January 13, 2019

The Crosstab Weekly Newsletter πŸ“Š January 6, 2019