It helps to specify the question; and the role of black voters
G. Elliott Morris
The misguided reason why so many people are so quick to dismiss polling
G. Elliott Morris
It manages a good balance between how turnout and vote share changed since 2016
G. Elliott Morris
Campaign events don’t matter as much, but error from non-response could be higher
G. Elliott Morris
They are subject to many sources of error and aren’t as precise as you think
G. Elliott Morris
Joe Biden will head up a split government and more polarized public
G. Elliott Morris
Joe Biden is the president-elect, but a victory could be harder next time
G. Elliott Morris
These numbers could help us call an early Biden victory
G. Elliott Morris
What’s the word for this? Dealignment? Re-realignment? Reverse polarization?
G. Elliott Morris
He has run out of time to truly turn things around
G. Elliott Morris
Thinking about a weird problem in 538’s election model
G. Elliott Morris
A few external posts on the election
G. Elliott Morris