Politics by the Numbers | G. Elliott Morris | Substack

Plus, centrists are preparing a spoiler election candidacy for 2024, and comments on "the gerrymandering myth"

Mar 20

The former president currently commands too much loyalty, among opinion leaders and voters, to easily be dethroned. But his opponents may soon have an opening

Mar 20

Every primary is different from the training set

Mar 26

Hmmm... this sample is convenient.... tooo convenient

Mar 11

Most popular

See all popular

How to look at lines that go up

Mar 6

If correctly aggregating the public's opinions means slightly less accurate election forecasts some years, that's okay

Feb 27

These fuzzy bars need more fuzz!

Feb 25

George Washington never got to join the Congressional Dads Caucus

Feb 20

Trump may be in a stronger position for 2024 than popularly believed. (That does not mean he is the automatic winner.)

Feb 15

69% of adults think the US defaulting on its debt would be a major problem

Jan 30

I'll take my whiskey like American democracy (on the rocks)

Jan 23

Abandon politics, return to logging

Jan 16

Most popular

See all popular

Politics by the Numbers

Data-driven writing about politics, public opinion, and democracy. Esp re: polling, forecasting, and political data analysis.

Recommendations View all 6

Taegan Goddard

Marcel Dirsus

Christopher Ingraham

Thomas Silver

Unpopular Front

John Ganz

My links

My published articles

Politics by the Numbers

About Archive Recommendations Sitemap

#nojs-banner { position: fixed; bottom: 0; left: 0; padding: 16px 16px 16px 32px; width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; background: red; color: white; font-family: -apple-system, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 13px; line-height: 13px; } #nojs-banner a { color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; } This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please turn on JavaScript or unblock scripts