Elliott’s notebook

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Is it too early for 2024 polls to be predictive?
$%*& yes! But they can tell us about public opinion today.
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G. Elliott Morris
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How to read outlier polls
Where they come from, and what to do with them
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G. Elliott Morris
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A new framework for media polling analysis
Dear readers, ABC News announced on Friday that they will be hiring me as their new “Editorial Director of Data Analytics” effective late June. This new…
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G. Elliott Morris
Polling and forecasting in 2024 and beyond | #215 - May 14, 2023
Pollsters are "worried about Trump" again. But the problems in public opinion surveys run much deeper
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G. Elliott Morris
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What's next for data-driven election journalism? | #214 - April 25, 2023
Hopefully, a focus on polling methods and the substance of public opinion, not just predictions
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G. Elliott Morris
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Artificial intelligence and "big data" cannot replace public opinion polls | #213 - April 10, 2023
Plus, other links from vacation
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G. Elliott Morris
At this point in 2007, Rudy Giuliani was the front-runner for the GOP nomination | #212 - March 26, 2023
Every primary is different from the training set
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G. Elliott Morris
Links for March 12-18, 2023 | A Trump indictment; The GOP against Ukraine; Fox's Arizona 2020 call; and Rasmussen is at it again
Plus, centrists are preparing a spoiler election candidacy for 2024, and comments on "the gerrymandering myth"
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G. Elliott Morris
Elliott’s notebook
Elliott’s notebook
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