A one-of-a-kind book about the history of polling, mechanics of modern surveys, and role of polls in our democracy
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George Gallup was off by 12. Think about that next time you see an election poll miss an outcome.
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Pundits who ignored the polls and predicted a "red wave" got burned
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Three articles about the polls to read before Tuesday | Links for October 30-November 5, 2022Hello from the Washington DC metro area, where it is a sunny and unseasonably warm, 75-degree day. I am writing to you from my back patio where …
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Kitchen Confidential, but make it about polls
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How much polling bias could Senate Democrats overcome? | Saturday thread for October 16-22, 2022Happy Saturday, subscribers! By far the most common question I get this time of year is some variant of “who is going to win the election” (or “…
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A math and history lesson on why "unskewing" the polls is so hard
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Four tips from me for getting smarter about the polls. Plus, a brief history of survey methodology and October Q&A announcement!
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Politics by the Numbers