Elliott’s notebook

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Polling and forecasting in 2024 and beyond | #215 - May 14, 2023
Pollsters are "worried about Trump" again. But the problems in public opinion surveys run much deeper
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G. Elliott Morris
1
What's next for data-driven election journalism? | #214 - April 25, 2023
Hopefully, a focus on polling methods and the substance of public opinion, not just predictions
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G. Elliott Morris
3
Artificial intelligence and "big data" cannot replace public opinion polls | #213 - April 10, 2023
Plus, other links from vacation
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G. Elliott Morris
At this point in 2007, Rudy Giuliani was the front-runner for the GOP nomination | #212 - March 26, 2023
Every primary is different from the training set
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G. Elliott Morris
Links for March 12-18, 2023 | A Trump indictment; The GOP against Ukraine; Fox's Arizona 2020 call; and Rasmussen is at it again
Plus, centrists are preparing a spoiler election candidacy for 2024, and comments on "the gerrymandering myth"
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G. Elliott Morris
Republican opposition to Trump is a classic coordination problem | #211 - March 19, 2023
The former president currently commands too much loyalty, among opinion leaders and voters, to easily be dethroned. But his opponents may soon have an…
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G. Elliott Morris
1
Links for March 5-11, 2023 | Regulating drug prices; Rating pollsters; And what campaign lawn signs tell us
Hmmm... this sample is convenient.... tooo convenient
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G. Elliott Morris
Elliott’s notebook
Elliott’s notebook
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